NewsVans World Cup

Forecast: Epic Week of Surfing

Vans World Cup

Updated Nov 26th
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Waves go unridden at the Sunset Open 2018 held at Sunset Bech, Hawaii Sunset Beach WSL / Keoki Saguibo

Brief Overview: XL swell continues on Tuesday, but down from a Monday peak and fading through the day. Wednesday is strong, but down another couple notches with a further fade through the end of the week. Smaller to mid size NW swell is possible late this week and this weekend, although onshore wind is also possible. Similar size N swell is possible early next week, although wind could remain unfavorable. Even larger, and potentially solid, NW swell is possible for the end of the event window.

Swell/Surf Outlook: The XXL swell that peaked today will still provide very solid surf on Tuesday and the morning may very well still be overloaded and washing out at Sunset with 20-30' faces first thing. We expect to see a gradual decline in surf through the day, with the surf slowly becoming more manageable. Trades should ratchet up another couple notches from today and are expected to be breezy from the E to ENE.

Wednesday will be down to 'normal' large levels with surf running 2-3x overhead in the morning and continuing to ease through the day. Breezy E trades continue, possibly easing some for the afternoon.

Thursday should be down to high performance leftovers with good potential for glassy conditions in the morning with light S/SE wind. Wind may trend more S to SSW through the afternoon thanks to an approaching front. Stay tuned, we'll slowly refine the details on local wind in the next couple days.

Friday morning and potentially for much of the day we'll see just minor leftovers from the current swell. However, there is potential for some new, mid period NW swell to build in for the afternoon and possibly come up a bit more over the weekend. With model guidance bouncing around quite a bit on the details this is a low confidence forecast but the big picture is potential for more surf this weekend, with the likeliest size in the smaller to mid size range. Local wind also a wildcard, but potential for onshore flow of some sort.

Going further out, shorter to mid period NNW swell is possible early next week and best estimate is for surf size similar to the weekend.

Beyond that, confidence is slowly increasing for a larger, and potentially solid, NW swell to close out the event window around the 5th-6th. Stay tuned. .

Sunset Forecast Nov 26 Sunset Forecast Nov 26 WSL

Beachwaver Maui Pro

Updated Nov 25th
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Excellent conditions to open Round One of the 2017 Maui Women's Pro at Honolua Bay, Maui, Hawaii, USA Honalua Bay WSL / Kelly Cestari

Brief Overview: A very solid, albeit still heavily shadowed, NW swell builds in and peaks Monday before trending down through Tuesday. Modest to small leftovers are expected by Wednesday, with very small leftovers for the end of the week.

Swell/Surf Outlook: While the first couple of back-to-back-to-back NW swells have been building today, we still expect the largest of the bunch to build in and peak on Monday. We're not seeing signs of that particular swell on buoy 01 just yet, but that should come shortly. All other signs point to this swell very much living up to model guidance.

We'll look for overhead surf to build through the morning and hold for the afternoon. Best sets of the day should be a few feet overhead to double overhead, but expect the larger waves to be inconsistent. Moderate trades in the morning should become breezy for the afternoon.

Tuesday morning will be down from the Monday peak, but we still expect overhead surf in the morning, with a decreasing trend through the afternoon. Small leftovers are expected by Wednesday, with both Tue and Wed likely to see breezy trades.

Minor leftovers are expected for the second half of the work week. A approaching front Thu-Fri may bring onshore wind clocking wind from S to SW. Stay tuned.

The latest model guidance indicates that we could see a mid period NNW swell build in over the weekend from a cut off low that will develop to the north of the islands later this week. Confidence is low on the details as we haven't seen much model consistency with this feature. Local wind may also be a little dicey Sat-Sun (side onshore NNW to N) before improving Monday. Stay tuned.

Beyond that, confidence is slowly increasing that we'll see the return of shadowed NW swell for the last day or so of the event window. This swell will likely be a few notches smaller than what we expect Mon-Tue, but could still provide contestable surf (preliminary estimate would be for shoulder-head high waves). Stay tuned, we'll be able to give you more specifics in the next several days as we start to see the storms develop.

Maui Pro Forecast Nov 23 Maui Pro Forecast Nov 25 WSL

Jaws Challenge

Updated Nov 25th
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Lineup at Pe'ahi, with the helicopter overhead. Pe'ahi WSL / Marenelmar

Confidence is high that the largest swell of the season to date will build into the Hawaiian Islands on Monday, thanks to a developing storm in the northwest Pacific. This storm is expected to produce near hurricane force wind and seas in excess of 40 feet around 1500-2000 miles from Hawaii. The resulting long period NW swell will build all day on Monday and peak in the afternoon and evening hours with 30-50' faces. Moderate to breezy E trades will make conditions challenging Monday afternoon, but there should be some epic waves and the west bowl should offer some crazy barrels thanks to the swell direction. Tuesday is expected to trend down and be more user friendly, but still be solid, with 25-40' faces in the morning and lighter E trades.

Surfline Forecast: Jaws Challenge Called ON!
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It's back ... The Big Wave Tour's Jaws Challenge is on for for Monday Nov. 26 at 7:30am local time.
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